ISSN No. 1606-7754                   Vol.20 No.3 December 2012
Diabetes Mortality and Environmental Heavy Metals in North Carolina Counties: An Ecological Study
John G. Spangler
Department of Family and Community Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Medical Center BLVD, Winston-Salem NC 27157, USA

Arsenic, beryllium, cadmium and nickel have been associated with the prevalence of diabetes mellitus in populations exposed to these elements. However, diabetes mortality has not been evaluated. This ecological study correlated airborne concentrations of these metals with diabetes mortality in North Carolina counties. County level data were extracted from the 2000 US Census, the 1999 US Environmental Protection Agency National Air Toxins Assessment, and 2001-2005 diabetes mortality rates by county from the North Carolina State Center for Health Statistics. Multivariable linear regression correlated airborne concentrations of each element with diabetes mellitus mortality rates in all 100 North Carolina counties controlling for county-level characteristics. Airborne concentrations were logarithmically transformed to normalize their distribution. The lowest air concentrations detected were beryllium and cadmium, with nickel showing the highest concentration. Logarithmic concentrations spanned from 3.74 to 4.02 orders of magnitude. County-level diabetes mortality rates were negatively associated with median county income, but positively associated with county-level air concentrations of arsenic, beryllium, cadmium and nickel. These results support diabetes mortality effects of air pollution, and agree with other studies correlating arsenic, beryllium, cadmium and nickel with diabetes prevalence. Policy implications include regulating point source air pollution.


arsenic, beryllium, cadmium, nickel, diabetes mellitus, North Carolina


Over the past decade, accumulating research points to the association between environmental heavy exposure and a number of chronic diseases, including depression, hypertension and cardiovascular disease.1 In particular, one common theme is the association between heavy metal exposure and the development of diabetes mellitus,2-16 an effect that might involve direct cytotoxicity or autoimmunity.17 Additionally, diabetes mellitus is a disease associated with demographic factors such as socioeconomic status and race.18

With the incidence of diabetes mellitus increasing in the US population,19 research on this topic is necessary to elucidate the consequences of heavy metal exposure at the population level to the prevalence and mortality of diabetes.6-9 The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship of environmental heavy metal exposure on diabetes mortality rates controlling for demographics at the county level in North Carolina, a state with a high prevalence of diabetes.18


County-level population data for North Carolinaís 100 counties (total county population, total county urban population, median age and income of counties, poverty rate, and percent of the population with a high school education and race) were obtained from the 2000 US Census (population in 2000 = 8,049,313).20 Diabetes age adjusted death rates for all 100 North Carolina counties (combined by the state over a four year period, 2001-2005, to ensure stability) were obtained from the North Carolina State Center for Health Statistics (NCSCHS),21 reported as deaths per 100,000 population. Median air concentrations for arsenic, beryllium, cadmium and nickel (mcg/m3), were gathered from the 1999 national air toxic assessment by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) 1999 National Scale Air Toxics Assessment.22 The use of 1999 data ensured that any potential exposure preceded the mortality outcome.

Because air contaminant levels were not normally distributed, these concentrations were logarithmically transformed (to the base 10) to provide a normal distribution. Standard multiple regression was performed with diabetes mellitus mortality as the dependent variable, and heavy metal air concentrations and county factors as independent variables; thus all models controlled for population characteristics. Significance was set at p < 0.05. All data were entered into SPSS version 16.


Characteristics of North Carolina counties (n=100) have been described previously.23 In brief, median county population was approximately 49,000, of which 31, 500 resided in urban areas. Annual median household income was $21,578. Seventy eight percent of residents were high school graduates, and 9 percent of the population lived at or below the poverty level.

Air contaminant levels were logarithmically transformed to ensure normal distribution and are listed in Table 1. The lowest concentrations detected were beryllium and cadmium, with nickel showing the highest concentrations. The range for concentrations of these elements spanned from 3.74 orders of magnitude to 4.02 orders of magnitude.

Results of multiple regression analysis including county and contaminate variables are listed in Table 2. These show that the diabetes mortality rates in North Carolina are negatively associated with median county income, but positively associated with air concentrations of arsenic, beryllium, cadmium and nickel.


This study has found an association between heavy metal air contaminants as measured by the EPA22 and age adjusted diabetes mellitus mortality rates at the county level in the 100 counties of North Carolina. Although associations between these heavy metals and diabetes prevalence have been documented previously, the current study allows for estimating the effects of each contaminant on diabetes mortality among North Carolinians. For example, for each log increase in the airborne concentration of arsenic, there is a 0.49 per 100,000 population increase in diabetes mortality in North Carolina counties. Similarly, for each log increase in air concentrations of Be, Cd and nickel there was a corresponding increase of 0.65, 0.44 and 0.56 per 100,000 population in diabetes death rates respectively. Given that the ranges of the logarithmic concentrations of As, Be, Cd and Ni were about 3 to 4 orders of magnitude (Table 1), this implies that the counties with the highest concentrations of these heavy metals in the air experienced up to a 3- to 4 orders of magnitude increase in diabetes mortality. At 3 orders of magnitude increase, this translates into 1.47, 1.95, 1.32 and 1.68 more deaths per 100,000 population attributable to the effects of arsenic, beryllium, cadmium and nickel comparing counties with the lowest versus the highest concentrations of these metals.

Studies have shown associations between these environmental contaminates and diabetes mellitus. Afridi and colleagues2 demonstrated that arsenic and cadmium levels were higher in diabetic subjects than age-matched non-diabetic controls in hair, blood and urine. Similarly, Hemden et. al3 demonstrated in vitro and in vivo adverse effects on pancreatic islet cells from arsenic and cadmium. Cohort studies in Taiwan6 and Bangladesh7 also have documented higher rates of diabetes mellitus in populations exposed to high levels of arsenic in drinking water. Despite a systematic review9 finding inadequate evidence to support arsenic as playing a causal role in diabetes, a number of other studies have supported this hypothesis.2,3; 6-9 Indeed, one group of researchers recommended more longitudinal studies to evaluate this probable relationship.9

The evidence linking beryllium to diabetes is likely via this elementís ability to induce an autoimmune T-cell response, ultimately attacking islet cells and other organs.4,14,15 Indeed, beryllium up-regulates programmed death-1 expression on beryllium-Specific CD4+ T Cells,16 a pathway leading to the onset of diabetes.17

As mentioned above with arsenic, cadmium as well has been linked to diabetes mellitus.2,3 Using NHANES III data, Schwartz and colleagues demonstrated a relationship between high urinary levels of cadmium with impaired glucose tolerance (odds ratio-1.48).11 Edwards and Prozialeck12 reviewed the evidence supporting the link between cadmium exposure and diabetes, finding that cadmium reduces insulin levels, is directly cytotoxic on the pancreas and may be a factor in development of this disease. Potentially connecting cadmium to diabetes mortality, one study postulated that cadmium is likely toxic to nerve terminals, and thus may exacerbate complications from this disease.13

Finally studies of nickelís effect on diabetes mellitus have been somewhat inconsistent. Nickel is known to avert the development of streptozotocin- induced diabetes in rats, preventing hyperglycemia.24 Additionally, two other studies25,26 found no relationship between nickel blood levels and diabetes in humans. By contrast, in concert with nitric oxide, nickel can induce hyperglycemia in rats.5

It is important to note that these results are subject to a number of limitations. First, although this study controlled for many county-level risk factors for diabetes, it could not control for other confounders. Such factors might include county level obesity and heart disease rates. Additionally this analysis was unable to control for other environmental toxins known to be associated with diabetes (e.g., chromium), nor is it known the sources from which these toxins are released. In addition, since ecological studies compare data at the population level, these results cannot be extrapolated down to the individual level. For example, it could be that no person with diabetes who died in a specific county was ever exposed to these elevated environmental toxins. Finally, North Carolina does not categorize Type I versus Type II diabetes in the assessment of diabetes mortality, which slightly limits the ability to generalize to both types. Nonetheless, Type II diabetes accounts for up to 95% of all diabetes in North Carolina.

In summary, we found relationships between airborne concentrations of the heavy metals arsenic, beryllium, cadmium and nickel and county level mortality from diabetes in North Carolina. These results indicate that between 1.3 to nearly 2 deaths from diabetes per 100,000 population are attributable to these environmental contaminants. Given that the age adjusted diabetes death rate for all of North Carolina during this time period (2001-2005) was 27.6 per 100,000 population,27 these results imply a 5% to 7% contribution by these toxins to the stateís burden of diabetes mortality. Put another way, an additional 105 to 160 North Carolinians die from diabetes mellitus as a result of these contaminants. Since coal-fired power plants contribute to 40% of total point source hazardous air pollutants28 including arsenic, beryllium, cadmium and nickelóan analysis of these elementsí concentrations based on number of coal plants per county might be a place to start to mitigate diabetes death from these pollutants. These results might also inform public policy regarding coal-fired power plant emissions.